Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 53%
$1.1K
-$75.67
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $318.67 | $326.25 | +$7.58 | 52% 7967-7500 (15467) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $274.39 | $277.21 | +$2.82 | 93% 23943-1796 (25739) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 77.5¢ | $186.88 | $241.03 | +$54.15 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $79.28 | — | -$79.28 | 35% 18938-35934 (54872) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $60.7 | $50.35 | -$10.35 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $47.58 | $42 | -$5.58 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $39 | $50 | +$11 | 74% 102693-36455 (139148) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.8¢ | $40.1 | — | -$40.1 | 58% 38135-27322 (65457) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 57.3¢ | $29.51 | $34.41 | +$4.9 | 64% 58688-33274 (91962) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 88.8¢ | $29.26 | $25 | -$4.26 | 54% 11081-9455 (20536) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.9¢ | $3.56 | — | -$3.56 | 46% 38341-45284 (83625) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 66.7¢ | $11.1 | $16.64 | +$5.54 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.5¢ | $3.37 | — | -$3.37 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.1¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.3¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.1¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
Invested
$318.67
Value
$326.25
PnL
+$7.58
Record
52%
7967-7500 (15467)
Invested
$274.39
Value
$277.21
PnL
+$2.82
Record
93%
23943-1796 (25739)
Invested
$186.88
Value
$241.03
PnL
+$54.15
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$79.28
Value
—
PnL
-$79.28
Record
35%
18938-35934 (54872)
Invested
$60.7
Value
$50.35
PnL
-$10.35
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$47.58
Value
$42
PnL
-$5.58
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$39
Value
$50
PnL
+$11
Record
74%
102693-36455 (139148)
Invested
$40.1
Value
—
PnL
-$40.1
Record
58%
38135-27322 (65457)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$29.51
Value
$34.41
PnL
+$4.9
Record
64%
58688-33274 (91962)
Invested
$29.26
Value
$25
PnL
-$4.26
Record
54%
11081-9455 (20536)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.56
Value
—
PnL
-$3.56
Record
46%
38341-45284 (83625)
Invested
$11.1
Value
$16.64
PnL
+$5.54
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.37
Value
—
PnL
-$3.37
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $326.25
hoodquant
Down — $277.21
uninformedfloww
Down — $241.03
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $50.35
MayorMamdani
Down — $42
BoneOhio
Down — $50
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $34.41
thesidehustle
Down — $25