Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Up 71%
$544.61
-$67.75
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() pspspsps5 | Upavg 98.5Β’ | $234.51 | $237.25 | +$2.74 | 46% 38341-45284 (83625) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 77.5Β’ | $150.49 | $194.27 | +$43.78 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 22.3Β’ | $54.6 | β | -$54.6 | 52% 7967-7500 (15467) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.5Β’ | $62.26 | β | -$62.26 | 35% 18938-35934 (54872) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 88.2Β’ | $16.3 | $17.06 | +$0.76 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 79Β’ | $26.07 | $33 | +$6.93 | 58% 38135-27322 (65457) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 80.1Β’ | $12.65 | $14.22 | +$1.57 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 54.3Β’ | $7.43 | $7.33 | -$0.1 | 54% 11081-9455 (20536) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 23Β’ | $12.32 | β | -$12.32 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 81.4Β’ | $8.25 | $10.13 | +$1.88 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 93% 23943-1796 (25739) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 54.6Β’ | $5.05 | $9.25 | +$4.2 | 56% 8113-6259 (14372) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 95.5Β’ | $46.73 | $3.93 | +$0.4 | 64% 58688-33274 (91962) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $3.17 | $3.17 | +$0 | 59% 62455-43604 (106059) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.9Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 15Β’ | $0.18 | β | -$0.18 | 62% 43966-26982 (70948) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20230-19367 (39597) |
pspspsps5Invested
$234.51
Value
$237.25
PnL
+$2.74
Record
46%
38341-45284 (83625)
Invested
$150.49
Value
$194.27
PnL
+$43.78
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$54.6
Value
β
PnL
-$54.6
Record
52%
7967-7500 (15467)
Invested
$62.26
Value
β
PnL
-$62.26
Record
35%
18938-35934 (54872)
Invested
$16.3
Value
$17.06
PnL
+$0.76
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
Invested
$26.07
Value
$33
PnL
+$6.93
Record
58%
38135-27322 (65457)
Invested
$12.65
Value
$14.22
PnL
+$1.57
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
Invested
$7.43
Value
$7.33
PnL
-$0.1
Record
54%
11081-9455 (20536)
Invested
$12.32
Value
β
PnL
-$12.32
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
Invested
$8.25
Value
$10.13
PnL
+$1.88
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
23943-1796 (25739)
Invested
$5.05
Value
$9.25
PnL
+$4.2
Record
56%
8113-6259 (14372)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$46.73
Value
$3.93
PnL
+$0.4
Record
64%
58688-33274 (91962)
Invested
$3.17
Value
$3.17
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62455-43604 (106059)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
β
PnL
-$0.18
Record
62%
43966-26982 (70948)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20230-19367 (39597)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

pspspsps5
Up β $237.25
uninformedfloww
Up β $194.27
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
Little-big
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $17.06
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $33
dvasdkasodk
Up β $14.22
thesidehustle
Up β $7.33
aaa221
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $10.13