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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$587.35

Combined PnL

$46.53

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$383.73
Total Shares384
Combined PnL+$95.54
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares119
Combined PnL-$49
Up — 45%Down — 55%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$228.9

Value

$203.62

PnL

-$25.28

Record

52%

7967-7500 (15467)

Both legs:

Up$166.4281.7¢+$37.2
Down$62.4837.4¢-$62.48
UN
uninformedfloww
Up

Invested

$264.83

Value

$353.3

PnL

+$88.47

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$19.09

Value

—

PnL

-$19.09

Record

55%

45398-37789 (83187)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.68

Value

—

PnL

-$11.68

Record

54%

11081-9455 (20536)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.7

Value

—

PnL

-$9.7

Record

58%

51123-37260 (88383)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.4

Value

—

PnL

-$6.4

Record

56%

58323-44993 (103316)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$10.15

Value

$14.96

PnL

+$4.81

Record

58%

38135-27322 (65457)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$9.02

Value

$11.16

PnL

+$2.14

Record

66%

126396-65094 (191490)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.64

Value

—

PnL

-$0.64

Record

46%

38341-45284 (83625)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

55%

18044-14641 (32685)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$2.91

Value

$2.94

PnL

+$0.03

Record

93%

23943-1796 (25739)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$1.29

Value

$1.37

PnL

+$0.08

Record

64%

23991-13230 (37221)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xfeabfec0...77aacf
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793449800

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$25.28
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $353.3

+$88.47

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$19.09
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.68
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.7
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.4
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $14.96

+$4.81
AS

asdaefef

Up — $11.16

+$2.14

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.64
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.5
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