Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 63%
$533.26
-$118.03
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $270.54 | $204.34 | -$66.2 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $91.8 | $87.17 | -$1.36 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $65.32 | $65.39 | +$0.07 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92.4¢ | $51.36 | $52 | +$0.64 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $27.71 | $28.13 | +$0.42 | 93% 23917-1795 (25712) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.7¢ | $26.57 | $26.17 | -$0.4 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.7¢ | $38.49 | — | -$38.49 | 57% 71205-54305 (125510) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 86.6¢ | $19.57 | $20 | +$0.43 | 54% 11065-9443 (20508) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78.5¢ | $17.2 | $16.06 | -$1.14 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 66.5¢ | $15.96 | $24 | +$8.04 | 58% 38113-27312 (65425) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.1¢ | $9.85 | — | -$9.85 | 55% 18043-14638 (32681) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $8.23 | $10 | +$1.77 | 56% 8103-6239 (14342) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.9¢ | $6.27 | — | -$6.27 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.1¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.5¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 62% 43949-26970 (70919) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112325-58945 (171270) |
Invested
$270.54
Value
$204.34
PnL
-$66.2
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
Invested
$91.8
Value
$87.17
PnL
-$1.36
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$65.32
Value
$65.39
PnL
+$0.07
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$51.36
Value
$52
PnL
+$0.64
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$27.71
Value
$28.13
PnL
+$0.42
Record
93%
23917-1795 (25712)
Invested
$26.57
Value
$26.17
PnL
-$0.4
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
Invested
$38.49
Value
—
PnL
-$38.49
Record
57%
71205-54305 (125510)
Invested
$19.57
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.43
Record
54%
11065-9443 (20508)
Invested
$17.2
Value
$16.06
PnL
-$1.14
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$15.96
Value
$24
PnL
+$8.04
Record
58%
38113-27312 (65425)
Invested
$9.85
Value
—
PnL
-$9.85
Record
55%
18043-14638 (32681)
Invested
$8.23
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.77
Record
56%
8103-6239 (14342)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.27
Value
—
PnL
-$6.27
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
62%
43949-26970 (70919)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112325-58945 (171270)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $204.34
aaa221
Down — $87.17
0x50f7
Down — $65.39
MayorMamdani
Down — $52
hoodquant
Down — $28.13
dvasdkasodk
Down — $26.17
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
Down — $20
asdaefef
Down — $16.06
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $24