Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 69%
$426.64
$53.79
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 87.8¢ | $140.85 | $160.5 | +$19.65 | 57% 71205-54305 (125510) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $65.23 | $90.82 | +$25.59 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 88.4¢ | $79.19 | $79.25 | +$0.06 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | $32.52 | $37.97 | +$5.44 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $22.97 | $23 | +$0.03 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.5¢ | $10.71 | $14 | +$3.29 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5.61 | $11 | +$5.39 | 56% 8103-6239 (14342) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 56% 58298-44982 (103280) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.6 | $5.1 | +$2.5 | 58% 51106-37241 (88347) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 54% 11065-9443 (20508) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.74 | — | -$1.74 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 51% 20217-19360 (39577) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
Invested
$140.85
Value
$160.5
PnL
+$19.65
Record
57%
71205-54305 (125510)
Invested
$65.23
Value
$90.82
PnL
+$25.59
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$79.19
Value
$79.25
PnL
+$0.06
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$32.52
Value
$37.97
PnL
+$5.44
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$22.97
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.03
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$10.71
Value
$14
PnL
+$3.29
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$5.61
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.39
Record
56%
8103-6239 (14342)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
56%
58298-44982 (103280)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.5
Record
58%
51106-37241 (88347)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
54%
11065-9443 (20508)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.74
Value
—
PnL
-$1.74
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
51%
20217-19360 (39577)
Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $160.5
ply-pm2
Down — $90.82
MayorMamdani
Down — $79.25
aaa221
Down — $37.97
pspspsps5
Down — $23
asdaefef
Down — $14
wzbbb
Down — $11
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
Down — $5.1
thesidehustle
Down — $5