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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$461.51

Combined PnL

-$58.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$395.69

Total Shares396

Combined PnL-$2.93

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares85

Combined PnL-$55.35

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 90.6¢	$193.09	$120.67	-$72.43	52% 7945-7473 (15418)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$107.12	$108.2	+$1.08	93% 23917-1795 (25712)
MayorMamdaniARB<$100	Upavg 53.2¢	$60.33	$65.82	+$5.49	55% 45345-37754 (83099)
└ Up leg	Upavg 53.2¢	$34.99	$65.82	+$30.83
└ Down leg	Downavg 48¢	$25.34	—	-$25.34
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 35.9¢	$23.65	$65.83	+$42.18	55% 18043-14638 (32681)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 55.5¢	$34.95	$62.99	+$28.05	58% 38113-27312 (65425)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 75.1¢	$34.42	—	-$34.42	64% 23928-13193 (37121)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 96.7¢	$15.92	$8.81	-$7.11	64% 58676-33266 (91942)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 51.2¢	$14.31	—	-$14.31	54% 11065-9443 (20508)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 97.7¢	$18.75	$19.19	+$0.44	66% 126346-65068 (191414)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 23.1¢	$3.26	—	-$3.26	63% 52154-31006 (83160)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 51.5¢	$5.15	$10	+$4.85	56% 8103-6239 (14342)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$3.36	—	-$3.36	62% 43949-26970 (70919)

Invested

$193.09

Value

$120.67

PnL

-$72.43

Record

52%

7945-7473 (15418)

Invested

$107.12

Value

$108.2

PnL

+$1.08

Record

93%

23917-1795 (25712)

MayorMamdaniARB<$100

Invested

$60.33

Value

$65.82

PnL

+$5.49

Record

55%

45345-37754 (83099)

Both legs:

Up$34.9953.2¢+$30.83

Down$25.3448¢-$25.34

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$23.65

Value

$65.83

PnL

+$42.18

Record

55%

18043-14638 (32681)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$34.95

Value

$62.99

PnL

+$28.05

Record

58%

38113-27312 (65425)

Invested

$34.42

Value

—

PnL

-$34.42

Record

64%

23928-13193 (37121)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$15.92

Value

$8.81

PnL

-$7.11

Record

64%

58676-33266 (91942)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$14.31

Value

—

PnL

-$14.31

Record

54%

11065-9443 (20508)

Invested

$18.75

Value

$19.19

PnL

+$0.44

Record

66%

126346-65068 (191414)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$3.26

Value

—

PnL

-$3.26

Record

63%

52154-31006 (83160)

Invested

$5.15

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.85

Record

56%

8103-6239 (14342)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$3.36

Value

—

PnL

-$3.36

Record

62%

43949-26970 (70919)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd363679e...23bfd0

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793448600

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $120.67

hoodquant

Up — $108.2

MayorMamdani

Arbitrage — excluded

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $65.83

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $62.99

aaa221

Down — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $8.81

thesidehustle

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $19.19

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $0

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