Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 73%
$425.17
$111.98
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 55¢ | $82.87 | $133.7 | +$50.82 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 82.9¢ | $76.09 | $91.29 | +$15.2 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.2¢ | $57.94 | $72.27 | +$14.33 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49.4¢ | $39.5 | $80 | +$40.5 | 58% 51106-37241 (88347) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 46.3¢ | $9.81 | $14.4 | +$4.59 | 54% 11065-9443 (20508) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $10.26 | — | -$10.26 | 56% 8103-6239 (14342) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $13.8 | $20 | +$6.2 | 56% 58298-44982 (103280) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $10.12 | $11.21 | +$1.09 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 58.6¢ | $11.8 | — | -$9.8 | 51% 20217-19360 (39577) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $1.84 | $2.3 | +$0.46 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
Invested
$82.87
Value
$133.7
PnL
+$50.82
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$76.09
Value
$91.29
PnL
+$15.2
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$57.94
Value
$72.27
PnL
+$14.33
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$39.5
Value
$80
PnL
+$40.5
Record
58%
51106-37241 (88347)
Invested
$9.81
Value
$14.4
PnL
+$4.59
Record
54%
11065-9443 (20508)
Invested
$10.26
Value
—
PnL
-$10.26
Record
56%
8103-6239 (14342)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.2
Record
56%
58298-44982 (103280)
Invested
$10.12
Value
$11.21
PnL
+$1.09
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$11.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.8
Record
51%
20217-19360 (39577)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.84
Value
$2.3
PnL
+$0.46
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $133.7
MayorMamdani
Down — $91.29
aaa221
Down — $72.27
PBot-6
Down — $80
thesidehustle
Down — $14.4
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $20
asdaefef
Down — $11.21
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
Down — $2.3