Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 63%
$211.28
-$33.83
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 91.2Β’ | $84.72 | $92.9 | +$8.18 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 72.5Β’ | $41.6 | $57.36 | +$15.76 | 55% 18043-14638 (32681) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 69.2Β’ | $24.07 | $30.67 | +$6.6 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.4Β’ | $53.26 | β | -$53.26 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96.5Β’ | $18.38 | $16 | -$2.38 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 70.4Β’ | $13.81 | $14.35 | +$0.54 | 54% 11065-9443 (20508) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.1Β’ | $8.18 | β | -$8.18 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$84.72
Value
$92.9
PnL
+$8.18
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$41.6
Value
$57.36
PnL
+$15.76
Record
55%
18043-14638 (32681)
Invested
$24.07
Value
$30.67
PnL
+$6.6
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
Invested
$53.26
Value
β
PnL
-$53.26
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
Invested
$18.38
Value
$16
PnL
-$2.38
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
Invested
$13.81
Value
$14.35
PnL
+$0.54
Record
54%
11065-9443 (20508)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.18
Value
β
PnL
-$8.18
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
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