Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 45%
1 arb excluded
$478.98
-$45.94
Smart Money Signal
6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $266.03 | $266.3 | +$0.27 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 32.2¢ | $93.78 | $78.7 | -$15.08 | 52% 7945-7473 (15418) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.3¢ | $26.2 | $78.7 | +$52.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 32.2¢ | $67.59 | — | -$67.59 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $42.13 | $57.06 | +$14.94 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $28.38 | $30.4 | +$2.02 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $37.34 | — | -$37.34 | 56% 8103-6239 (14342) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90.1¢ | $28.1 | $26 | -$2.1 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 53.1¢ | $17.13 | $20.52 | +$3.39 | 54% 11065-9443 (20508) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $12.81 | — | -$12.81 | 35% 18929-35926 (54855) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $8.42 | — | -$8.42 | 58% 51106-37241 (88347) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.3¢ | $5.05 | — | -$5.05 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.78 | — | -$0.78 | 46% 38320-45258 (83578) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112325-58945 (171270) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20217-19360 (39577) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 64% 58676-33266 (91942) |
Invested
$266.03
Value
$266.3
PnL
+$0.27
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
Invested
$93.78
Value
$78.7
PnL
-$15.08
Record
52%
7945-7473 (15418)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.13
Value
$57.06
PnL
+$14.94
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$28.38
Value
$30.4
PnL
+$2.02
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$37.34
Value
—
PnL
-$37.34
Record
56%
8103-6239 (14342)
Invested
$28.1
Value
$26
PnL
-$2.1
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
Invested
$17.13
Value
$20.52
PnL
+$3.39
Record
54%
11065-9443 (20508)
Invested
$12.81
Value
—
PnL
-$12.81
Record
35%
18929-35926 (54855)
Invested
$8.42
Value
—
PnL
-$8.42
Record
58%
51106-37241 (88347)
Invested
$5.05
Value
—
PnL
-$5.05
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.78
Value
—
PnL
-$0.78
Record
46%
38320-45258 (83578)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112325-58945 (171270)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20217-19360 (39577)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
58676-33266 (91942)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.