Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 86%
$599.45
-$5.48
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6¢ | $222.89 | $226 | +$3.11 | 93% 23898-1792 (25690) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 87.8¢ | $184.51 | $170.71 | -$13.8 | 51% 7908-7454 (15362) |
 UpandDownSyndrome | Downavg 97.8¢ | $128.47 | $131.38 | +$2.91 | 63% 52135-30979 (83114) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $40.39 | $43.43 | +$3.04 | 64% 23872-13164 (37036) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $19.41 | $20 | +$0.59 | 54% 11047-9434 (20481) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.7¢ | $4.39 | — | -$4.39 | 55% 45212-37592 (82804) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 61.4¢ | $4.87 | $7.93 | +$3.06 | 66% 112317-58917 (171234) |
Invested
$222.89
Value
$226
PnL
+$3.11
Record
93%
23898-1792 (25690)
Invested
$184.51
Value
$170.71
PnL
-$13.8
Record
51%
7908-7454 (15362)
UpandDownSyndromeInvested
$128.47
Value
$131.38
PnL
+$2.91
Record
63%
52135-30979 (83114)
Invested
$40.39
Value
$43.43
PnL
+$3.04
Record
64%
23872-13164 (37036)
Invested
$19.41
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.59
Record
54%
11047-9434 (20481)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.39
Value
—
PnL
-$4.39
Record
55%
45212-37592 (82804)
Invested
$4.87
Value
$7.93
PnL
+$3.06
Record
66%
112317-58917 (171234)
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