Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 50%
$361.61
-$33.61
Smart Money Signal
7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $178.17 | $175.7 | -$2.47 | 52% 7885-7424 (15309) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 91.4¢ | $55.55 | $60.75 | +$5.2 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $42.77 | $43.2 | +$0.43 | 93% 23873-1792 (25665) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 84.5¢ | $36.83 | $36 | -$0.83 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $26.6 | $20 | -$6.6 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $23.46 | — | -$23.46 | 58% 38081-27294 (65375) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $9.6 | — | -$9.6 | 64% 40270-23036 (63306) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 65.9¢ | $13.82 | $20.97 | +$7.15 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $3.9 | $5 | +$1.1 | 54% 11039-9419 (20458) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 52% 90691-85227 (175918) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $0.95 | — | -$0.95 | 49% 78145-81653 (159798) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $0.67 | — | -$0.67 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 56% 58267-44968 (103235) |
Invested
$178.17
Value
$175.7
PnL
-$2.47
Record
52%
7885-7424 (15309)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$55.55
Value
$60.75
PnL
+$5.2
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
Invested
$42.77
Value
$43.2
PnL
+$0.43
Record
93%
23873-1792 (25665)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$36.83
Value
$36
PnL
-$0.83
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
Invested
$26.6
Value
$20
PnL
-$6.6
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
Invested
$23.46
Value
—
PnL
-$23.46
Record
58%
38081-27294 (65375)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.6
Value
—
PnL
-$9.6
Record
64%
40270-23036 (63306)
Invested
$13.82
Value
$20.97
PnL
+$7.15
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
Invested
$3.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.1
Record
54%
11039-9419 (20458)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
52%
90691-85227 (175918)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
49%
78145-81653 (159798)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.67
Value
—
PnL
-$0.67
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
56%
58267-44968 (103235)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $175.7
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $60.75
hoodquant
Down — $43.2
MayorMamdani
Down — $36
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $20.97
thesidehustle
Down — $5
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0