Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 65%
$769.12
$230.88
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 27.9¢ | $107.01 | $215.55 | +$108.54 | 52% 7885-7424 (15309) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $124.73 | $124.85 | +$0.12 | 59% 62419-43575 (105994) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 61.7¢ | $92.07 | $130.32 | +$38.25 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 66.9¢ | $73.61 | $110.04 | +$36.43 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 65.1¢ | $36.6 | $56.24 | +$19.64 | 49% 78145-81653 (159798) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $10.52 | — | -$10.52 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $6.35 | $42.32 | +$35.97 | 62% 43934-26954 (70888) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $19.23 | $20.9 | +$1.67 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $11.74 | $18.57 | +$6.83 | 54% 11039-9419 (20458) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $7.95 | — | -$7.95 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $8.8 | $21.46 | +$12.66 | 58% 60720-44332 (105052) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10 | $20 | +$10 | 35% 18914-35904 (54818) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $9.96 | — | -$9.96 | 57% 8076-6209 (14285) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 51% 20197-19346 (39543) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.33 | $8.87 | +$7.54 | 52% 90691-85227 (175918) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
Invested
$107.01
Value
$215.55
PnL
+$108.54
Record
52%
7885-7424 (15309)
Invested
$124.73
Value
$124.85
PnL
+$0.12
Record
59%
62419-43575 (105994)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$92.07
Value
$130.32
PnL
+$38.25
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
pspspsps5Invested
$73.61
Value
$110.04
PnL
+$36.43
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$36.6
Value
$56.24
PnL
+$19.64
Record
49%
78145-81653 (159798)
Invested
$10.52
Value
—
PnL
-$10.52
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$6.35
Value
$42.32
PnL
+$35.97
Record
62%
43934-26954 (70888)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.23
Value
$20.9
PnL
+$1.67
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
Invested
$11.74
Value
$18.57
PnL
+$6.83
Record
54%
11039-9419 (20458)
Invested
$7.95
Value
—
PnL
-$7.95
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
Invested
$8.8
Value
$21.46
PnL
+$12.66
Record
58%
60720-44332 (105052)
Invested
$10
Value
$20
PnL
+$10
Record
35%
18914-35904 (54818)
Invested
$9.96
Value
—
PnL
-$9.96
Record
57%
8076-6209 (14285)
Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
51%
20197-19346 (39543)
Invested
$1.33
Value
$8.87
PnL
+$7.54
Record
52%
90691-85227 (175918)
Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $215.55
0x50f7
Down — $124.85
MayorMamdani
Down — $130.32
pspspsps5
Down — $110.04
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $56.24
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $42.32
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $20.9
thesidehustle
Down — $18.57
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0