Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 93% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 93%
$541.13
$114.76
Smart Money Signal
14 of 15 top traders (93%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $149.26 | $200 | +$50.74 | 52% 7885-7424 (15309) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $107.94 | $109.03 | +$1.09 | 93% 23873-1792 (25665) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 70.9¢ | $41.61 | $54.36 | +$12.75 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $39.05 | $41.11 | +$2.06 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $16.85 | $24.4 | +$7.55 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $14.4 | $20 | +$5.6 | 56% 58267-44968 (103235) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $13.73 | $25.91 | +$12.18 | 58% 38081-27294 (65375) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $8.32 | $13 | +$4.68 | 49% 78145-81653 (159798) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $8.2 | $10.47 | +$2.27 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $6.6 | $12 | +$5.4 | 64% 40270-23036 (63306) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $6.7 | $10 | +$3.3 | 54% 11039-9419 (20458) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $4.1 | $10 | +$5.9 | 58% 51083-37220 (88303) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 54.4¢ | $3.14 | $5.77 | +$2.63 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.7¢ | $2.96 | — | -$2.96 | 57% 8076-6209 (14285) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $3.5 | $5.07 | +$1.57 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
Invested
$149.26
Value
$200
PnL
+$50.74
Record
52%
7885-7424 (15309)
Invested
$107.94
Value
$109.03
PnL
+$1.09
Record
93%
23873-1792 (25665)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$41.61
Value
$54.36
PnL
+$12.75
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$39.05
Value
$41.11
PnL
+$2.06
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$16.85
Value
$24.4
PnL
+$7.55
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
Invested
$14.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.6
Record
56%
58267-44968 (103235)
Invested
$13.73
Value
$25.91
PnL
+$12.18
Record
58%
38081-27294 (65375)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.32
Value
$13
PnL
+$4.68
Record
49%
78145-81653 (159798)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$10.47
PnL
+$2.27
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.6
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.4
Record
64%
40270-23036 (63306)
Invested
$6.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.3
Record
54%
11039-9419 (20458)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.9
Record
58%
51083-37220 (88303)
Invested
$3.14
Value
$5.77
PnL
+$2.63
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
Invested
$2.96
Value
—
PnL
-$2.96
Record
57%
8076-6209 (14285)
Invested
$3.5
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.57
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $200
hoodquant
Down — $109.03
MayorMamdani
Down — $54.36
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $41.11
pspspsps5
Down — $24.4
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $20
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $25.91
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $13
asdaefef
Down — $10.47
ohioism
Down — $12