Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 67%
$352.71
$91
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $89.1 | $90 | +$0.9 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 31.5¢ | $54.3 | $172.41 | +$118.11 | 35% 18914-35904 (54818) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $71 | $40 | -$31 | 52% 7885-7424 (15309) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $28.03 | $24 | -$4.03 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 71.7¢ | $12.7 | $12.14 | -$0.56 | 54% 11039-9419 (20458) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $6.05 | $14.06 | +$8.01 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 59% 62419-43575 (105994) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112311-58899 (171210) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $0.08 | $0.1 | +$0.02 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$89.1
Value
$90
PnL
+$0.9
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
Invested
$54.3
Value
$172.41
PnL
+$118.11
Record
35%
18914-35904 (54818)
Invested
$71
Value
$40
PnL
-$31
Record
52%
7885-7424 (15309)
Invested
$28.03
Value
$24
PnL
-$4.03
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
Invested
$12.7
Value
$12.14
PnL
-$0.56
Record
54%
11039-9419 (20458)
Invested
$6.05
Value
$14.06
PnL
+$8.01
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
59%
62419-43575 (105994)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112311-58899 (171210)
Invested
$0.08
Value
$0.1
PnL
+$0.02
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
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