Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
$256.62
-$4.68
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 35.9¢ | $145.07 | $159.91 | +$14.83 | 52% 7885-7424 (15309) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.9¢ | $80.06 | — | -$80.06 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 40.7¢ | $65.01 | $159.91 | +$94.89 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $39.78 | $40.18 | +$0.4 | 49% 78145-81653 (159798) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.6¢ | $31.42 | $25.06 | -$6.36 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $15.33 | $15.22 | -$0.11 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.73 | — | -$0.73 | 46% 38281-45205 (83486) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $5.25 | $6.25 | +$1 | 56% 58267-44968 (103235) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 54% 11039-9419 (20458) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 62% 43934-26954 (70888) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20197-19346 (39543) |
Invested
$145.07
Value
$159.91
PnL
+$14.83
Record
52%
7885-7424 (15309)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$39.78
Value
$40.18
PnL
+$0.4
Record
49%
78145-81653 (159798)
Invested
$31.42
Value
$25.06
PnL
-$6.36
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
Invested
$15.33
Value
$15.22
PnL
-$0.11
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.73
Value
—
PnL
-$0.73
Record
46%
38281-45205 (83486)
Invested
$5.25
Value
$6.25
PnL
+$1
Record
56%
58267-44968 (103235)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
54%
11039-9419 (20458)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
62%
43934-26954 (70888)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20197-19346 (39543)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $40.18
asidjasiodja
Down — $25.06
asdaefef
Down — $15.22
aaa221
Down — $5
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $6.25
thesidehustle
Down — $5
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0