Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
16
Up 53%
$526.48
-$611.05
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 82.4¢ | $494.23 | — | -$494.23 | 48% 23429-25738 (49167) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $318.36 | $324 | +$5.64 | 93% 23850-1790 (25640) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 13.5¢ | $136.41 | — | -$136.41 | 51% 7854-7405 (15259) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $34.86 | — | -$34.86 | 57% 8058-6195 (14253) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.5¢ | $21.37 | — | -$21.37 | 61% 95257-60134 (155391) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $17.67 | $57 | +$39.33 | 34% 18905-35897 (54802) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 67.4¢ | $18.7 | $27.77 | +$9.07 | 66% 112305-58874 (171179) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 37.5¢ | $13.16 | $20 | +$6.84 | 54% 11029-9400 (20429) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $13.54 | $15.94 | +$2.4 | 63% 52106-30898 (83004) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 89.3¢ | $19.43 | — | -$19.43 | 66% 126202-65005 (191207) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $15.39 | — | -$15.39 | 52% 90652-85212 (175864) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 9.3¢ | $7.13 | $76.78 | +$69.65 | 46% 38260-45186 (83446) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 51% 20187-19342 (39529) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $7.33 | — | -$7.33 | 65% 125573-67230 (192803) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1 | $5 | +$4 | 58% 38071-27285 (65356) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 71.8¢ | $18.94 | — | -$9.96 | 64% 23759-13098 (36857) |
Invested
$494.23
Value
—
PnL
-$494.23
Record
48%
23429-25738 (49167)
Invested
$318.36
Value
$324
PnL
+$5.64
Record
93%
23850-1790 (25640)
Invested
$136.41
Value
—
PnL
-$136.41
Record
51%
7854-7405 (15259)
Invested
$34.86
Value
—
PnL
-$34.86
Record
57%
8058-6195 (14253)
Invested
$21.37
Value
—
PnL
-$21.37
Record
61%
95257-60134 (155391)
Invested
$17.67
Value
$57
PnL
+$39.33
Record
34%
18905-35897 (54802)
Invested
$18.7
Value
$27.77
PnL
+$9.07
Record
66%
112305-58874 (171179)
Invested
$13.16
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.84
Record
54%
11029-9400 (20429)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.54
Value
$15.94
PnL
+$2.4
Record
63%
52106-30898 (83004)
Invested
$19.43
Value
—
PnL
-$19.43
Record
66%
126202-65005 (191207)
Invested
$15.39
Value
—
PnL
-$15.39
Record
52%
90652-85212 (175864)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$7.13
Value
$76.78
PnL
+$69.65
Record
46%
38260-45186 (83446)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
51%
20187-19342 (39529)
Invested
$7.33
Value
—
PnL
-$7.33
Record
65%
125573-67230 (192803)
Invested
$1
Value
$5
PnL
+$4
Record
58%
38071-27285 (65356)
Invested
$18.94
Value
—
PnL
-$9.96
Record
64%
23759-13098 (36857)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $324
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
Down — $57
antsaslyku
Down — $27.77
thesidehustle
Down — $20
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $15.94
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0