Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 70%
$142.14
-$32.9
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 88.2Β’ | $54.06 | $45.71 | -$8.35 | 51% 7854-7405 (15259) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5Β’ | $46.17 | β | -$46.17 | 48% 23429-25738 (49167) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 60Β’ | $15.17 | $16.95 | +$1.78 | 64% 23759-13098 (36857) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $16 | $32 | +$16 | 34% 18905-35897 (54802) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 58.8Β’ | $14.2 | $15.48 | +$1.28 | 54% 11029-9400 (20429) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 74.2Β’ | $14.05 | $17 | +$2.95 | 61% 95257-60134 (155391) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $8.91 | $9 | +$0.09 | 52% 90652-85212 (175864) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 68Β’ | $4.08 | $6 | +$1.92 | 66% 126202-65005 (191207) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $2.33 | β | -$2.33 | 49% 78132-81641 (159773) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7Β’ | $0.08 | β | -$0.08 | 46% 38260-45186 (83446) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20187-19342 (39529) |
Invested
$54.06
Value
$45.71
PnL
-$8.35
Record
51%
7854-7405 (15259)
Invested
$46.17
Value
β
PnL
-$46.17
Record
48%
23429-25738 (49167)
Invested
$15.17
Value
$16.95
PnL
+$1.78
Record
64%
23759-13098 (36857)
Invested
$16
Value
$32
PnL
+$16
Record
34%
18905-35897 (54802)
Invested
$14.2
Value
$15.48
PnL
+$1.28
Record
54%
11029-9400 (20429)
Invested
$14.05
Value
$17
PnL
+$2.95
Record
61%
95257-60134 (155391)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.09
Record
52%
90652-85212 (175864)
Invested
$4.08
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.92
Record
66%
126202-65005 (191207)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.33
Value
β
PnL
-$2.33
Record
49%
78132-81641 (159773)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
β
PnL
-$0.08
Record
46%
38260-45186 (83446)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20187-19342 (39529)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $45.71
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $16.95
Little-big
Down β $32
thesidehustle
Down β $15.48
asidjasiodja
Down β $17
dvasdkasodk
Down β $9
asdaefef
Down β $6

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0