Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 73%
$444.75
-$42.25
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 91.1Β’ | $220.04 | $210 | -$10.04 | 51% 7854-7405 (15259) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $90.81 | $91.73 | +$0.92 | 58% 38071-27285 (65356) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82.4Β’ | $46.12 | $55.99 | +$9.87 | 64% 23759-13098 (36857) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 9Β’ | $27.02 | β | -$27.02 | 48% 23429-25738 (49167) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 37Β’ | $18.5 | β | -$18.5 | 34% 18905-35897 (54802) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $20.64 | $24 | +$3.36 | 49% 78132-81641 (159773) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $21.65 | $24.6 | +$2.95 | 46% 38260-45186 (83446) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $18.24 | $18.42 | +$0.18 | 63% 52106-30898 (83004) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $14.95 | $15 | +$0.05 | 54% 11029-9400 (20429) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $5.12 | β | -$5.12 | 57% 8058-6195 (14253) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $3.9 | $5 | +$1.1 | 66% 126202-65005 (191207) |
Invested
$220.04
Value
$210
PnL
-$10.04
Record
51%
7854-7405 (15259)
Invested
$90.81
Value
$91.73
PnL
+$0.92
Record
58%
38071-27285 (65356)
Invested
$46.12
Value
$55.99
PnL
+$9.87
Record
64%
23759-13098 (36857)
Invested
$27.02
Value
β
PnL
-$27.02
Record
48%
23429-25738 (49167)
Invested
$18.5
Value
β
PnL
-$18.5
Record
34%
18905-35897 (54802)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$20.64
Value
$24
PnL
+$3.36
Record
49%
78132-81641 (159773)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$21.65
Value
$24.6
PnL
+$2.95
Record
46%
38260-45186 (83446)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.24
Value
$18.42
PnL
+$0.18
Record
63%
52106-30898 (83004)
Invested
$14.95
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.05
Record
54%
11029-9400 (20429)
Invested
$5.12
Value
β
PnL
-$5.12
Record
57%
8058-6195 (14253)
Invested
$3.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.1
Record
66%
126202-65005 (191207)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $210
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $91.73
aaa221
Down β $55.99
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0
Little-big
CTRUp β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $24

pspspsps5
Down β $24.6

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $18.42
thesidehustle
Down β $15
wzbbb
CTRUp β $0