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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 89%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$354.58

Combined PnL

-$18.41

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$313.04
Total Shares313
Combined PnL+$29.13
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares126
Combined PnL-$47.54
Up — 90%Down — 10%
OhioRiskManagement
Up

Invested

$141.92

Value

$137.69

PnL

-$4.23

Record

49%

78132-81641 (159773)

PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$49.43

Value

$41.54

PnL

-$7.89

Record

51%

7854-7405 (15259)

Both legs:

Down$19.869.5¢-$19.86
Up$29.5771.2¢+$11.97
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$47.54

Value

—

PnL

-$47.54

Record

48%

23429-25738 (49167)

WZ
wzbbb<$100
Up

Invested

$47.37

Value

$77.25

PnL

+$29.88

Record

57%

8058-6195 (14253)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$32.46

Value

$36.42

PnL

+$3.96

Record

61%

95257-60134 (155391)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$19.02

Value

$10.59

PnL

-$8.43

Record

46%

38260-45186 (83446)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$20.7

Value

$22.5

PnL

+$1.8

Record

62%

43927-26950 (70877)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$9.7

Value

$10.32

PnL

+$0.62

Record

51%

20187-19342 (39529)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$11.34

Value

$13.26

PnL

+$1.92

Record

66%

126202-65005 (191207)

TH
thesidehustle<$100
Up

Invested

$3.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.45

Record

54%

11029-9400 (20429)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$8.19

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$2.16

Record

64%

23759-13098 (36857)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x2645bf9a...3dae36
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793429100

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $137.69

-$4.23
PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$7.89
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Down — $0

-$47.54
WZ

wzbbb

Up — $77.25

+$29.88
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $36.42

+$3.96

pspspsps5

Up — $10.59

-$8.43

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $22.5

+$1.8
DE

devonpoll

Up — $10.32

+$0.62
AS

asdaefef

Up — $13.26

+$1.92
TH

thesidehustle

Up — $5

+$1.45
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