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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 89%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$483.72

Combined PnL

$66.47

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$319.28

Total Shares319

Combined PnL+$68.2

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares69

Combined PnL-$1.73

Up — 89%Down — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 55.6¢	$143.13	$164.45	+$21.32	51% 7854-7405 (15259)
└ Up leg	Upavg 55.6¢	$91.48	$164.45	+$72.97
└ Down leg	Downavg 30.9¢	$51.65	—	-$51.65
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 88.9¢	$52.64	$59.18	+$6.54	58% 60707-44323 (105030)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 77¢	$38.5	$50	+$11.5	62% 43927-26950 (70877)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 81¢	$40.5	$50	+$9.5	56% 58251-44962 (103213)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 80¢	$37.6	$47	+$9.4	64% 40258-23030 (63288)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 55.5¢	$37.93	$60	+$22.07	64% 23759-13098 (36857)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Upavg 52.3¢	$19.01	$20	+$0.99	54% 11029-9400 (20429)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 57¢	$23.05	$20	+$4.72	65% 125573-67230 (192803)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2.5¢	$1.73	—	-$1.73	46% 38260-45186 (83446)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 73.5¢	$9.62	$13.1	+$3.48	66% 126202-65005 (191207)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$143.13

Value

$164.45

PnL

+$21.32

Record

51%

7854-7405 (15259)

Both legs:

Up$91.4855.6¢+$72.97

Down$51.6530.9¢-$51.65

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$52.64

Value

$59.18

PnL

+$6.54

Record

58%

60707-44323 (105030)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$38.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$11.5

Record

62%

43927-26950 (70877)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$40.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$9.5

Record

56%

58251-44962 (103213)

Invested

$37.6

Value

$47

PnL

+$9.4

Record

64%

40258-23030 (63288)

Invested

$37.93

Value

$60

PnL

+$22.07

Record

64%

23759-13098 (36857)

thesidehustle<$100

Invested

$19.01

Value

$20

PnL

+$0.99

Record

54%

11029-9400 (20429)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$23.05

Value

$20

PnL

+$4.72

Record

65%

125573-67230 (192803)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.73

Value

—

PnL

-$1.73

Record

46%

38260-45186 (83446)

Invested

$9.62

Value

$13.1

PnL

+$3.48

Record

66%

126202-65005 (191207)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xeb888fd8...35c584

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793428800

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $59.18

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $50

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $50

ohioism

Up — $47

aaa221

Up — $60

thesidehustle

Up — $20

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20

pspspsps5

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $13.1

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