Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 57%
$273.19
-$11.76
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $138.25 | $136.53 | -$1.72 | 51% 7854-7405 (15259) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94.9¢ | $47.08 | $49.61 | +$2.53 | 63% 52106-30898 (83004) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $30.69 | $31 | +$0.31 | 61% 95257-60134 (155391) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $16.4 | $20 | +$3.6 | 49% 78132-81641 (159773) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $14.02 | $13 | -$1.02 | 52% 90652-85212 (175864) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.1¢ | $4.91 | — | -$4.91 | 46% 38260-45186 (83446) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $7.92 | $8.05 | +$0.13 | 66% 126202-65005 (191207) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 57% 8058-6195 (14253) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $7.05 | $10 | +$2.95 | 54% 11029-9400 (20429) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$1.6 | 65% 125573-67230 (192803) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 64% 40258-23030 (63288) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.5¢ | $5.05 | — | -$5.05 | 66% 112305-58874 (171179) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $0.49 | — | -$0.49 | 64% 23759-13098 (36857) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $2.8 | — | -$0.7 | 51% 20187-19342 (39529) |
Invested
$138.25
Value
$136.53
PnL
-$1.72
Record
51%
7854-7405 (15259)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$47.08
Value
$49.61
PnL
+$2.53
Record
63%
52106-30898 (83004)
Invested
$30.69
Value
$31
PnL
+$0.31
Record
61%
95257-60134 (155391)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$16.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.6
Record
49%
78132-81641 (159773)
Invested
$14.02
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
90652-85212 (175864)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.91
Value
—
PnL
-$4.91
Record
46%
38260-45186 (83446)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8.05
PnL
+$0.13
Record
66%
126202-65005 (191207)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
57%
8058-6195 (14253)
Invested
$7.05
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.95
Record
54%
11029-9400 (20429)
Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.6
Record
65%
125573-67230 (192803)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
64%
40258-23030 (63288)
Invested
$5.05
Value
—
PnL
-$5.05
Record
66%
112305-58874 (171179)
Invested
$0.49
Value
—
PnL
-$0.49
Record
64%
23759-13098 (36857)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
51%
20187-19342 (39529)
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