Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 89%
1 arb excluded
$226.61
-$2.77
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 62.8¢ | $97.69 | $83.21 | -$14.48 | 51% 7828-7386 (15214) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 62.8¢ | $52.24 | $83.21 | +$30.98 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 22.7¢ | $45.46 | — | -$45.46 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $49.82 | $53 | +$3.18 | 49% 78112-81629 (159741) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $16.47 | $15 | -$1.47 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $16.78 | $14 | -$2.78 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $11.77 | — | -$11.77 | 57% 8039-6181 (14220) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $15.4 | $20.73 | +$5.33 | 65% 125540-67211 (192751) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $14.33 | $19.42 | +$5.09 | 64% 23717-13072 (36789) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $8.55 | $9.1 | +$0.55 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $6.4 | $5 | -$1.4 | 54% 11016-9389 (20405) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $6.64 | $7.14 | +$0.5 | 46% 38235-45168 (83403) |
Invested
$97.69
Value
$83.21
PnL
-$14.48
Record
51%
7828-7386 (15214)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$49.82
Value
$53
PnL
+$3.18
Record
49%
78112-81629 (159741)
Invested
$16.47
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.47
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
Invested
$16.78
Value
$14
PnL
-$2.78
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
Invested
$11.77
Value
—
PnL
-$11.77
Record
57%
8039-6181 (14220)
Invested
$15.4
Value
$20.73
PnL
+$5.33
Record
65%
125540-67211 (192751)
Invested
$14.33
Value
$19.42
PnL
+$5.09
Record
64%
23717-13072 (36789)
Invested
$8.55
Value
$9.1
PnL
+$0.55
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
Invested
$6.4
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.4
Record
54%
11016-9389 (20405)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$6.64
Value
$7.14
PnL
+$0.5
Record
46%
38235-45168 (83403)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.