Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$980.29
-$9.77
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $538.02 | $549 | +$10.98 | 93% 23822-1789 (25611) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 83.7¢ | $297.74 | $252.66 | -$45.08 | 51% 7828-7386 (15214) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 83.7¢ | $211.49 | $252.66 | +$41.17 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 10¢ | $86.25 | — | -$86.25 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.5¢ | $39.5 | — | -$39.5 | 48% 23410-25728 (49138) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $51.8 | $70 | +$18.2 | 55% 48555-40104 (88659) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $46.04 | $56.31 | +$10.28 | 64% 23717-13072 (36789) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $26.4 | $20.29 | -$6.11 | 65% 125540-67211 (192751) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $8.45 | $5 | -$3.45 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $9.48 | $15.36 | +$5.88 | 46% 38235-45168 (83403) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 58.5¢ | $5.85 | $10 | +$4.15 | 54% 11016-9389 (20405) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9¢ | $8.37 | — | -$8.37 | 66% 112303-58850 (171153) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.77 | — | -$0.77 | 58% 60701-44311 (105012) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $1.58 | $1.66 | +$0.08 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
Invested
$538.02
Value
$549
PnL
+$10.98
Record
93%
23822-1789 (25611)
Invested
$297.74
Value
$252.66
PnL
-$45.08
Record
51%
7828-7386 (15214)
Both legs:
Invested
$39.5
Value
—
PnL
-$39.5
Record
48%
23410-25728 (49138)
Invested
$51.8
Value
$70
PnL
+$18.2
Record
55%
48555-40104 (88659)
Invested
$46.04
Value
$56.31
PnL
+$10.28
Record
64%
23717-13072 (36789)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$20.29
PnL
-$6.11
Record
65%
125540-67211 (192751)
Invested
$8.45
Value
$5
PnL
-$3.45
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$9.48
Value
$15.36
PnL
+$5.88
Record
46%
38235-45168 (83403)
Invested
$5.85
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.15
Record
54%
11016-9389 (20405)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
Invested
$8.37
Value
—
PnL
-$8.37
Record
66%
112303-58850 (171153)
Invested
$0.77
Value
—
PnL
-$0.77
Record
58%
60701-44311 (105012)
Invested
$1.58
Value
$1.66
PnL
+$0.08
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $549
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
almach
Down — $70
aaa221
Down — $56.31
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20.29
asidjasiodja
Down — $5
pspspsps5
Down — $15.36
thesidehustle
Down — $10
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0