Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$615.63
$43.52
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 86.4Β’ | $265.8 | $307.66 | +$41.86 | 48% 23410-25728 (49138) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $213.72 | $213.93 | +$0.21 | 59% 62390-43552 (105942) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 73.4Β’ | $49.2 | $43.57 | -$5.63 | 51% 7828-7386 (15214) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 21.5Β’ | $17.2 | β | -$17.2 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 73.4Β’ | $32 | $43.57 | +$11.57 | |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96.3Β’ | $13.72 | $14.25 | +$0.53 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86Β’ | $13.95 | $16.22 | +$2.27 | 64% 23717-13072 (36789) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76Β’ | $11.4 | $15 | +$3.6 | 65% 125540-67211 (192751) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 23Β’ | $2.35 | β | -$2.35 | 54% 11016-9389 (20405) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82Β’ | $4.1 | $5 | +$0.9 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.9Β’ | $1.85 | β | -$1.85 | 46% 38235-45168 (83403) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 4Β’ | $1.66 | β | -$1.66 | 49% 78112-81629 (159741) |
Invested
$265.8
Value
$307.66
PnL
+$41.86
Record
48%
23410-25728 (49138)
Invested
$213.72
Value
$213.93
PnL
+$0.21
Record
59%
62390-43552 (105942)
Invested
$49.2
Value
$43.57
PnL
-$5.63
Record
51%
7828-7386 (15214)
Both legs:
Invested
$13.72
Value
$14.25
PnL
+$0.53
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
Invested
$13.95
Value
$16.22
PnL
+$2.27
Record
64%
23717-13072 (36789)
Invested
$11.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.6
Record
65%
125540-67211 (192751)
Invested
$2.35
Value
β
PnL
-$2.35
Record
54%
11016-9389 (20405)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.9
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
β
PnL
-$1.85
Record
46%
38235-45168 (83403)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.66
Value
β
PnL
-$1.66
Record
49%
78112-81629 (159741)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up β $307.66
0x50f7
Up β $213.93
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
asidjasiodja
Up β $14.25
aaa221
Up β $16.22
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $15
thesidehustle
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $5

pspspsps5
CTRDown β $0

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0