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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$234.07

Combined PnL

$18.04

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$138.54

Total Shares139

Combined PnL+$22.96

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares320

Combined PnL-$4.92

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 77.5¢	$96.51	$95.54	-$0.97	51% 7797-7363 (15160)
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.5¢	$74.07	$95.54	+$21.47
└ Down leg	Downavg 7.5¢	$22.44	—	-$22.44
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100	Upavg 82¢	$55.4	$67.56	+$12.16	48% 23380-25698 (49078)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 83.5¢	$33.59	$40.22	+$6.63	64% 23652-13033 (36685)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$3.03	—	-$3.03	49% 78088-81604 (159692)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 88.5¢	$10.15	$11.47	+$1.32	66% 126107-64964 (191071)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 86¢	$7.99	$9.29	+$1.3	58% 60691-44301 (104992)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 83¢	$4.15	$5	+$0.85	56% 58218-44941 (103159)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.3	$5	+$0.7	61% 95179-60087 (155266)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 29¢	$1.45	—	-$1.45	54% 11005-9382 (20387)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.8¢	$0.44	—	-$0.44	46% 38212-45143 (83355)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$96.51

Value

$95.54

PnL

-$0.97

Record

51%

7797-7363 (15160)

Both legs:

Up$74.0777.5¢+$21.47

Down$22.447.5¢-$22.44

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100

Invested

$55.4

Value

$67.56

PnL

+$12.16

Record

48%

23380-25698 (49078)

Invested

$33.59

Value

$40.22

PnL

+$6.63

Record

64%

23652-13033 (36685)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.03

Value

—

PnL

-$3.03

Record

49%

78088-81604 (159692)

Invested

$10.15

Value

$11.47

PnL

+$1.32

Record

66%

126107-64964 (191071)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$7.99

Value

$9.29

PnL

+$1.3

Record

58%

60691-44301 (104992)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$4.15

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.85

Record

56%

58218-44941 (103159)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.7

Record

61%

95179-60087 (155266)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$1.45

Value

—

PnL

-$1.45

Record

54%

11005-9382 (20387)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.44

Value

—

PnL

-$0.44

Record

46%

38212-45143 (83355)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xcba958cc...b96687

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793416800

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $67.56

aaa221

Up — $40.22

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $11.47

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $9.29

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $5

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

thesidehustle

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $0

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