Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 83%
$470.44
-$50.48
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 73.9Β’ | $176.28 | $182.85 | +$6.57 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 98Β’ | $130.32 | $132.69 | +$2.37 | 46% 38184-45085 (83269) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.9Β’ | $38.72 | $42.14 | +$3.42 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 76.3Β’ | $31.35 | $41.09 | +$9.74 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 58.5Β’ | $29.61 | $26 | -$3.61 | 57% 7978-6132 (14110) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 85.9Β’ | $373.24 | $19.67 | -$66.13 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $8.28 | $9 | +$0.72 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $5.88 | $6 | +$0.12 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $5.28 | $6 | +$0.72 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 44Β’ | $4.4 | β | -$4.4 | 58% 51036-37181 (88217) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 49% 78059-81564 (159623) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
Invested
$176.28
Value
$182.85
PnL
+$6.57
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
pspspsps5Invested
$130.32
Value
$132.69
PnL
+$2.37
Record
46%
38184-45085 (83269)
Invested
$38.72
Value
$42.14
PnL
+$3.42
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$31.35
Value
$41.09
PnL
+$9.74
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$29.61
Value
$26
PnL
-$3.61
Record
57%
7978-6132 (14110)
Invested
$373.24
Value
$19.67
PnL
-$66.13
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
Invested
$8.28
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.72
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.12
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
$5.28
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.72
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
$4.4
Value
β
PnL
-$4.4
Record
58%
51036-37181 (88217)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
49%
78059-81564 (159623)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $182.85

pspspsps5
Down β $132.69
aaa221
Down β $42.14
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $41.09
wzbbb
Down β $26
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down β $19.67
asdaefef
Down β $9
hoodquant
Down β $6
asidjasiodja
Down β $6
PBot-6
CTRUp β $0