Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Up 55%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
$169.59
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.4¢ | $545.66 | $560.23 | +$14.57 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 43.7¢ | $169.26 | $218.95 | +$49.69 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 56.4¢ | $169.3 | $300 | +$130.7 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
 ohioismARB<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $50.5 | $50 | -$0.5 | 64% 40197-22999 (63196) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61¢ | $30.5 | $50 | +$19.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 40¢ | $20 | — | -$20 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66.3¢ | $26.52 | $20 | -$0.32 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $6.14 | $9 | +$2.86 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.4¢ | $7.86 | — | -$7.86 | 57% 7978-6132 (14110) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $6.36 | — | -$6.36 | 49% 78059-81564 (159623) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 74.5¢ | $15.8 | $11.2 | +$1.2 | 51% 20141-19302 (39443) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.5¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.1¢ | $8.16 | — | -$8.16 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.9¢ | $1.73 | — | -$1.73 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
Invested
$545.66
Value
$560.23
PnL
+$14.57
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
$169.26
Value
$218.95
PnL
+$49.69
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Invested
$169.3
Value
$300
PnL
+$130.7
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
ohioismARB<$100Invested
$50.5
Value
$50
PnL
-$0.5
Record
64%
40197-22999 (63196)
Both legs:
Invested
$26.52
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.32
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$6.14
Value
$9
PnL
+$2.86
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
$7.86
Value
—
PnL
-$7.86
Record
57%
7978-6132 (14110)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.36
Value
—
PnL
-$6.36
Record
49%
78059-81564 (159623)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$11.2
PnL
+$1.2
Record
51%
20141-19302 (39443)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$8.16
Value
—
PnL
-$8.16
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $560.23
ply-pm2
Up — $218.95
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $300
ohioism
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $20
asidjasiodja
Up — $9
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
Up — $11.2
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0