Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 46%
1 arb excluded
$668.27
-$256.59
Smart Money Signal
6 of 13 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 55.4¢ | $490.4 | $464.19 | -$26.21 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 62.4¢ | $83 | — | -$83 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.1¢ | $61.53 | — | -$61.53 | 59% 22376-15741 (38117) |
AA aaa221ARB<$100 | Upavg 68.6¢ | $95.65 | $86.7 | -$5.9 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57.4¢ | $29.95 | — | -$33.13 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 68.6¢ | $59.47 | $86.7 | +$27.23 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $53.83 | — | -$53.83 | 46% 38184-45085 (83269) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 61.2¢ | $28.62 | — | -$28.62 | 49% 78059-81564 (159623) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $30 | $50 | +$20 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 58.7¢ | $18.37 | — | -$18.37 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $20.7 | $17 | -$3.7 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.7¢ | $15.07 | — | -$15.07 | 57% 7978-6132 (14110) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $18.9 | $30 | +$11.1 | 56% 58191-44916 (103107) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $4.38 | — | -$4.38 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 62.5¢ | $7.97 | $10 | +$2.03 | 58% 37996-27224 (65220) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.4 | $10.38 | +$4.98 | 51% 20141-19302 (39443) |
Invested
$490.4
Value
$464.19
PnL
-$26.21
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Invested
$83
Value
—
PnL
-$83
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$61.53
Value
—
PnL
-$61.53
Record
59%
22376-15741 (38117)
Invested
$95.65
Value
$86.7
PnL
-$5.9
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$53.83
Value
—
PnL
-$53.83
Record
46%
38184-45085 (83269)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$28.62
Value
—
PnL
-$28.62
Record
49%
78059-81564 (159623)
Invested
$30
Value
$50
PnL
+$20
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
Invested
$18.37
Value
—
PnL
-$18.37
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
$20.7
Value
$17
PnL
-$3.7
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
Invested
$15.07
Value
—
PnL
-$15.07
Record
57%
7978-6132 (14110)
Invested
$18.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$11.1
Record
56%
58191-44916 (103107)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.38
Value
—
PnL
-$4.38
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
Invested
$7.97
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.03
Record
58%
37996-27224 (65220)
Invested
$5.4
Value
$10.38
PnL
+$4.98
Record
51%
20141-19302 (39443)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up — $464.19
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $50
asidjasiodja
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $17
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0