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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$808.96

Combined PnL

$133.97

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$683.34
Total Shares683
Combined PnL+$20.63
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares385
Combined PnL+$113.34
Up — 80%Down — 20%
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$341.35

Value

$345

PnL

+$3.65

Record

93%

23707-1785 (25492)

PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$169.2

Value

$125.62

PnL

-$43.58

Record

51%

7743-7307 (15050)

Both legs:

Down$105.1835.9¢-$105.18
Up$64.0151¢+$61.61
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR
Down

Invested

$221.81

Value

—

PnL

+$106.81

Record

48%

23338-25669 (49007)

pspspsps5
Up

Invested

$115.21

Value

$116

PnL

+$0.79

Record

46%

38184-45085 (83269)

BoneOhio
Up

Invested

$121.23

Value

$122.45

PnL

+$1.22

Record

74%

102628-36442 (139070)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$47.95

Value

$47.75

PnL

-$0.2

Record

61%

95112-60031 (155143)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$8.58

Value

$14.79

PnL

+$6.21

Record

49%

78059-81564 (159623)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$11.01

Value

$14.18

PnL

+$3.17

Record

66%

126030-64913 (190943)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$11.56

Value

$12.16

PnL

+$0.6

Record

52%

90518-85062 (175580)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$26.64

Value

—

PnL

+$6.53

Record

64%

23528-12966 (36494)

WZ
wzbbb<$100
Up

Invested

$5.84

Value

$11

PnL

+$5.17

Record

57%

7978-6132 (14110)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x48a7b040...187ed2
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793403000

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Up — $345

+$3.65
PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$43.58
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Down — $0

+$106.81

pspspsps5

Up — $116

+$0.79

BoneOhio

Up — $122.45

+$1.22
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $47.75

-$0.2

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $14.79

+$6.21
AS

asdaefef

Up — $14.18

+$3.17
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $12.16

+$0.6
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

+$6.53
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