Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 47%
$755.01
-$306.87
Smart Money Signal
7 of 16 top traders (44%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 73¢ | $583.9 | $509.12 | -$74.78 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 24.3¢ | $141.28 | — | -$141.28 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 90.5¢ | $110.86 | $122.49 | +$11.63 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.4¢ | $30.85 | — | -$30.85 | 58% 37996-27224 (65220) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 23.5¢ | $18.18 | — | -$18.18 | 56% 58191-44916 (103107) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.6¢ | $37.99 | — | -$37.99 | 46% 38184-45085 (83269) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $35.52 | $36.78 | +$1.26 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 80.7¢ | $15.89 | $18.2 | +$2.31 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 54.1¢ | $59.21 | $39.36 | +$0.64 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 80.9¢ | $14.3 | $10.07 | -$4.23 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $9.31 | $19 | +$9.69 | 57% 7978-6132 (14110) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 49% 78059-81564 (159623) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2¢ | $3.13 | — | -$3.13 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.5¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.1¢ | $6.56 | — | -$6.56 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20141-19302 (39443) |
Invested
$583.9
Value
$509.12
PnL
-$74.78
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Invested
$141.28
Value
—
PnL
-$141.28
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
Invested
$110.86
Value
$122.49
PnL
+$11.63
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
$30.85
Value
—
PnL
-$30.85
Record
58%
37996-27224 (65220)
Invested
$18.18
Value
—
PnL
-$18.18
Record
56%
58191-44916 (103107)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$37.99
Value
—
PnL
-$37.99
Record
46%
38184-45085 (83269)
Invested
$35.52
Value
$36.78
PnL
+$1.26
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
Invested
$15.89
Value
$18.2
PnL
+$2.31
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
$59.21
Value
$39.36
PnL
+$0.64
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$14.3
Value
$10.07
PnL
-$4.23
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$9.31
Value
$19
PnL
+$9.69
Record
57%
7978-6132 (14110)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
49%
78059-81564 (159623)
Invested
$3.13
Value
—
PnL
-$3.13
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.56
Value
—
PnL
-$6.56
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20141-19302 (39443)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $509.12
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $122.49
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $36.78
asidjasiodja
Down — $18.2
aaa221
Down — $39.36
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $10.07