Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 80%
$36.67
-$157.46
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.2¢ | $59.89 | — | -$59.89 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 54.6¢ | $39.08 | $36.67 | -$2.41 | 54% 10968-9354 (20322) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $47.81 | — | -$45.08 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $26 | — | -$26 | 57% 12702-9403 (22105) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $24.09 | — | -$24.09 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
HO hoodquantCTR<$100 | Downavg 97.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 38184-45085 (83269) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 87.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$59.89
Value
—
PnL
-$59.89
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
Invested
$39.08
Value
$36.67
PnL
-$2.41
Record
54%
10968-9354 (20322)
Invested
$47.81
Value
—
PnL
-$45.08
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$26
Value
—
PnL
-$26
Record
57%
12702-9403 (22105)
Invested
$24.09
Value
—
PnL
-$24.09
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38184-45085 (83269)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
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