Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
$675.83
$104.62
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 68.7¢ | $206.05 | $300 | +$93.95 | 48% 23324-25663 (48987) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $3.03 | — | -$3.03 | 49% 78046-81554 (159600) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 64.6¢ | $115.66 | $128.21 | +$12.55 | 51% 7723-7285 (15008) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.5¢ | $32.89 | — | -$32.89 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.6¢ | $82.76 | $128.21 | +$45.44 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.7¢ | $5.55 | — | -$5.55 | 46% 38165-45073 (83238) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $181.17 | $183 | +$1.83 | 93% 23670-1781 (25451) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62.5¢ | $24.68 | $39.49 | +$14.81 | 64% 23481-12947 (36428) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 92.3¢ | $12.06 | $13.06 | +$1 | 61% 95091-59995 (155086) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $6.86 | $7.07 | +$0.21 | 52% 90492-85022 (175514) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 66% 126008-64883 (190891) |
Invested
$206.05
Value
$300
PnL
+$93.95
Record
48%
23324-25663 (48987)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.03
Value
—
PnL
-$3.03
Record
49%
78046-81554 (159600)
Invested
$115.66
Value
$128.21
PnL
+$12.55
Record
51%
7723-7285 (15008)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.55
Value
—
PnL
-$5.55
Record
46%
38165-45073 (83238)
Invested
$181.17
Value
$183
PnL
+$1.83
Record
93%
23670-1781 (25451)
Invested
$24.68
Value
$39.49
PnL
+$14.81
Record
64%
23481-12947 (36428)
Invested
$12.06
Value
$13.06
PnL
+$1
Record
61%
95091-59995 (155086)
Invested
$6.86
Value
$7.07
PnL
+$0.21
Record
52%
90492-85022 (175514)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
66%
126008-64883 (190891)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $300
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $183
aaa221
Up — $39.49
asidjasiodja
Up — $13.06
dvasdkasodk
Up — $7.07
asdaefef
Up — $5