Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$484.77

Combined PnL

-$151.75

Down

5 of 11 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down5 traders

Total Value$373.82

Total Shares374

Combined PnL+$18.02

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares568

Combined PnL-$169.77

Down — 45%Up — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 97.8¢	$300.21	$306.99	+$6.78	93% 23629-1777 (25406)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 48¢	$143.88	—	-$143.88	48% 23316-25650 (48966)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 41.9¢	$128.44	$110.94	-$17.5	51% 7702-7260 (14962)
└ Down leg	Downavg 56.8¢	$63	$110.94	+$47.94
└ Up leg	Upavg 41.9¢	$65.44	—	-$65.44
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 58¢	$51.7	$42.22	-$0.92	64% 23436-12922 (36358)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 32.6¢	$8.62	—	-$8.62	66% 125972-64860 (190832)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 3.8¢	$6.69	—	-$6.69	52% 90461-84991 (175452)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Downavg 34¢	$5.1	$15	+$9.9	57% 7947-6108 (14055)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$3.59	—	-$3.59	63% 52021-30681 (82702)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 64¢	$3.2	$5	+$1.8	74% 102617-36432 (139049)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 8.8¢	$5.99	—	-$5.99	61% 95058-59969 (155027)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 90¢	$4.15	$4.61	+$0.46	64% 40186-22978 (63164)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$1	—	-$1	56% 58164-44891 (103055)