Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 50%
$733.45
$11.14
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $508 | $518.37 | +$10.37 | 93% 23629-1777 (25406) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 52.4Β’ | $124.94 | $156.79 | +$31.86 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $32.47 | $35.29 | +$2.82 | 46% 38152-45055 (83207) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 58.8Β’ | $25.29 | β | -$25.29 | 57% 7947-6108 (14055) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $18.8 | $20 | +$1.2 | 64% 23436-12922 (36358) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $3.06 | β | -$3.06 | 49% 78037-81540 (159577) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.7Β’ | $2.1 | β | -$2.1 | 59% 62303-43482 (105785) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5Β’ | $4.75 | β | -$4.75 | 51% 20120-19270 (39390) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 36Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 37Β’ | $1.11 | $3 | +$1.89 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
Invested
$508
Value
$518.37
PnL
+$10.37
Record
93%
23629-1777 (25406)
Invested
$124.94
Value
$156.79
PnL
+$31.86
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$32.47
Value
$35.29
PnL
+$2.82
Record
46%
38152-45055 (83207)
Invested
$25.29
Value
β
PnL
-$25.29
Record
57%
7947-6108 (14055)
Invested
$18.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.2
Record
64%
23436-12922 (36358)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
β
PnL
-$3.06
Record
49%
78037-81540 (159577)
Invested
$2.1
Value
β
PnL
-$2.1
Record
59%
62303-43482 (105785)
Invested
$4.75
Value
β
PnL
-$4.75
Record
51%
20120-19270 (39390)
Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
Invested
$1.11
Value
$3
PnL
+$1.89
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $518.37
ply-pm2
Down β $156.79

pspspsps5
Down β $35.29
wzbbb
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $20

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $3