Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 63%
$282.67
-$3.12
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $216.9 | $216.36 | -$0.54 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $24.8 | $25.31 | +$0.51 | 93% 23629-1777 (25406) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $20.7 | $20 | -$0.7 | 66% 125972-64860 (190832) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 56% 58164-44891 (103055) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $5.06 | $11 | +$5.94 | 57% 7947-6108 (14055) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $3.1 | — | -$3.1 | 51% 20120-19270 (39390) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.2¢ | $3.57 | — | -$3.57 | 49% 78037-81540 (159577) |
Invested
$216.9
Value
$216.36
PnL
-$0.54
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
Invested
$24.8
Value
$25.31
PnL
+$0.51
Record
93%
23629-1777 (25406)
Invested
$20.7
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.7
Record
66%
125972-64860 (190832)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
56%
58164-44891 (103055)
Invested
$5.06
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.94
Record
57%
7947-6108 (14055)
Invested
$3.1
Value
—
PnL
-$3.1
Record
51%
20120-19270 (39390)
Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.57
Value
—
PnL
-$3.57
Record
49%
78037-81540 (159577)
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