Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 78%
$740.11
-$13.07
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $360.64 | $368 | +$7.36 | 93% 23629-1777 (25406) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 86.4Β’ | $209.99 | $171.06 | -$38.93 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 98Β’ | $130.04 | $132.69 | +$2.65 | 46% 38152-45055 (83207) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 78.6Β’ | $17.3 | $22 | +$4.7 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $16.66 | $34 | +$17.34 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.6Β’ | $12.8 | β | -$12.8 | 59% 62303-43482 (105785) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | 57% 7947-6108 (14055) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 34Β’ | $0.8 | $2.36 | +$1.56 | 56% 58164-44891 (103055) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 112247-58715 (170962) |
Invested
$360.64
Value
$368
PnL
+$7.36
Record
93%
23629-1777 (25406)
Invested
$209.99
Value
$171.06
PnL
-$38.93
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
pspspsps5Invested
$130.04
Value
$132.69
PnL
+$2.65
Record
46%
38152-45055 (83207)
Invested
$17.3
Value
$22
PnL
+$4.7
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
Invested
$16.66
Value
$34
PnL
+$17.34
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
Invested
$12.8
Value
β
PnL
-$12.8
Record
59%
62303-43482 (105785)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
57%
7947-6108 (14055)
Invested
$0.8
Value
$2.36
PnL
+$1.56
Record
56%
58164-44891 (103055)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112247-58715 (170962)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $368
ply-pm2
Down β $171.06

pspspsps5
Down β $132.69
asidjasiodja
Down β $22
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $34
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0
wzbbb
Down β $10
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $2.36
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0