Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 90%
3 arb excluded
$944.02
$290.16
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $318.78 | $322 | +$3.22 | 93% 23629-1777 (25406) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 57.4¢ | $164.06 | $124.76 | -$39.3 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.2¢ | $51.44 | $124.76 | +$73.32 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57.4¢ | $112.63 | — | -$112.63 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Downavg 48.3¢ | $79.85 | $40 | -$39.85 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29¢ | $11.6 | $40 | +$28.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.3¢ | $68.25 | — | -$68.25 | |
AS asidjasiodjaARB<$100 | Upavg 35.2¢ | $11.58 | $27.27 | +$15.69 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 1¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.2¢ | $9.6 | $27.27 | +$17.67 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $49.88 | — | -$49.88 | 64% 23436-12922 (36358) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 18.2¢ | $46.14 | $179.15 | +$133.01 | 57% 71032-54136 (125168) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $9.1 | $65 | +$55.9 | 48% 23316-25650 (48966) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $23.28 | $28 | +$4.72 | 57% 7947-6108 (14055) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 4.4¢ | $5.44 | $122.4 | +$116.96 | 46% 38152-45055 (83207) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 36.3¢ | $3.8 | $10.47 | +$6.67 | 52% 90461-84991 (175452) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.4 | $10.77 | +$9.37 | 51% 20120-19270 (39390) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 46.3¢ | $3.29 | $7.11 | +$3.82 | 66% 125972-64860 (190832) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.71 | $7.1 | +$6.39 | 64% 40186-22978 (63164) |
Invested
$318.78
Value
$322
PnL
+$3.22
Record
93%
23629-1777 (25406)
Invested
$164.06
Value
$124.76
PnL
-$39.3
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
Both legs:
Invested
$79.85
Value
$40
PnL
-$39.85
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
Both legs:
Invested
$11.58
Value
$27.27
PnL
+$15.69
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.88
Value
—
PnL
-$49.88
Record
64%
23436-12922 (36358)
Invested
$46.14
Value
$179.15
PnL
+$133.01
Record
57%
71032-54136 (125168)
Invested
$9.1
Value
$65
PnL
+$55.9
Record
48%
23316-25650 (48966)
Invested
$23.28
Value
$28
PnL
+$4.72
Record
57%
7947-6108 (14055)
pspspsps5Invested
$5.44
Value
$122.4
PnL
+$116.96
Record
46%
38152-45055 (83207)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$10.47
PnL
+$6.67
Record
52%
90461-84991 (175452)
Invested
$1.4
Value
$10.77
PnL
+$9.37
Record
51%
20120-19270 (39390)
Invested
$3.29
Value
$7.11
PnL
+$3.82
Record
66%
125972-64860 (190832)
ohioism<$100Invested
$0.71
Value
$7.1
PnL
+$6.39
Record
64%
40186-22978 (63164)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $322
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asidjasiodja
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $179.15
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $65
wzbbb
Up — $28
pspspsps5
Up — $122.4
dvasdkasodk
Up — $10.47