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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 62%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$835.78

Combined PnL

$13.08

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$789.95
Total Shares790
Combined PnL+$126.52
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares270
Combined PnL-$113.44
Up — 62%Down — 38%
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up

Invested

$133.98

Value

$258

PnL

+$124.02

Record

58%

37944-27182 (65126)

0X
0x50f7
Up

Invested

$264.44

Value

$264.7

PnL

+$0.26

Record

59%

62303-43482 (105785)

LI
Little-bigCTR
Down

Invested

$101.15

Value

—

PnL

-$101.15

Record

34%

18844-35836 (54680)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$164.54

Value

$167.9

PnL

+$3.36

Record

93%

23629-1777 (25406)

PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$57.68

Value

$45.83

PnL

-$11.85

Record

51%

7702-7260 (14962)

Both legs:

Up$41.7691.1¢+$4.07
Down$15.9334.5¢-$15.93
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100
Up

Invested

$48

Value

$50

PnL

+$2

Record

48%

23316-25650 (48966)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$8.15

Value

$5

PnL

-$3.15

Record

61%

95058-59969 (155027)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$30

Value

$19.35

PnL

-$10.02

Record

64%

23436-12922 (36358)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.8

Value

—

PnL

-$0.8

Record

49%

78037-81540 (159577)

WZ
wzbbbCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.04

Value

—

PnL

-$11.04

Record

57%

7947-6108 (14055)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$10.2

Value

$20

PnL

+$9.8

Record

58%

60631-44262 (104893)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.25

Record

66%

125972-64860 (190832)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.04

Value

—

PnL

-$0.04

Record

46%

38152-45055 (83207)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.41

Value

—

PnL

-$0.41

Record

57%

71032-54136 (125168)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x6b14b26a...b5420a
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793388900

Traders in this Market

0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $258

+$124.02
0X

0x50f7

Up — $264.7

+$0.26
LI

Little-big

CTR

Down — $0

-$101.15
HO

hoodquant

Up — $167.9

+$3.36
PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$11.85
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $50

+$2
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

-$3.15
AA

aaa221

Up — $19.35

-$10.02

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.8
WZ

wzbbb

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.04
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