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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 44%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$584.73

Combined PnL

-$4.87

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$462.94
Total Shares463
Combined PnL+$18.01
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares407
Combined PnL-$22.88
Up — 50%Down — 50%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$154.88

Value

$121.79

PnL

-$33.1

Record

51%

7681-7235 (14916)

Both legs:

Down$52.7316.9¢-$52.73
Up$102.1683.9¢+$19.63
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$361.29

Value

$365.39

PnL

+$4.1

Record

93%

23585-1776 (25361)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.03

Value

—

PnL

-$3.03

Record

49%

78011-81515 (159526)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$11.72

Value

$9.11

PnL

-$2.61

Record

63%

52008-30666 (82674)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$44.22

Value

$60.27

PnL

+$16.05

Record

58%

37915-27161 (65076)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$27.71

Value

$28.18

PnL

+$0.47

Record

64%

23388-12902 (36290)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.11

Value

—

PnL

-$3.11

Record

61%

95030-59937 (154967)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.88

Value

—

PnL

-$6.88

Record

57%

71009-54091 (125100)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.04

Value

—

PnL

-$1.04

Record

52%

90443-84945 (175388)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.82

Value

—

PnL

-$8.82

Record

64%

40165-22974 (63139)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20108-19252 (39360)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x5d461f09...3afd71
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793388300

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$33.1
HO

hoodquant

Up — $365.39

+$4.1

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.03

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $9.11

-$2.61
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $60.27

+$16.05
AA

aaa221

Up — $28.18

+$0.47
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.11
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.88
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.04

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.82
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