Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 45%
$373.67
-$237.97
Smart Money Signal
6 of 13 top traders (46%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $224.95 | $227.22 | +$2.27 | 93% 23585-1776 (25361) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 43.3Β’ | $77.36 | β | -$77.36 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 19.8Β’ | $165.83 | β | -$165.83 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 51.1Β’ | $35.42 | $59.45 | +$24.03 | 58% 37915-27161 (65076) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.1Β’ | $48.67 | β | -$48.67 | 34% 18834-35827 (54661) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 29.9Β’ | $20.9 | $70 | +$49.1 | 58% 60607-44251 (104858) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 27Β’ | $3.72 | β | -$3.72 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $10.93 | $6 | -$4.93 | 66% 125935-64835 (190770) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $5.94 | $11 | +$5.06 | 57% 7932-6096 (14028) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $1.58 | β | -$1.58 | 46% 7988-9443 (17431) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 27Β’ | $2.7 | β | -$2.7 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $31.17 | β | -$13.65 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20108-19252 (39360) |
Invested
$224.95
Value
$227.22
PnL
+$2.27
Record
93%
23585-1776 (25361)
Invested
$77.36
Value
β
PnL
-$77.36
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
Invested
$165.83
Value
β
PnL
-$165.83
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
Invested
$35.42
Value
$59.45
PnL
+$24.03
Record
58%
37915-27161 (65076)
Invested
$48.67
Value
β
PnL
-$48.67
Record
34%
18834-35827 (54661)
Invested
$20.9
Value
$70
PnL
+$49.1
Record
58%
60607-44251 (104858)
Invested
$3.72
Value
β
PnL
-$3.72
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
Invested
$10.93
Value
$6
PnL
-$4.93
Record
66%
125935-64835 (190770)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.06
Record
57%
7932-6096 (14028)
Invested
$1.58
Value
β
PnL
-$1.58
Record
46%
7988-9443 (17431)
Invested
$2.7
Value
β
PnL
-$2.7
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
Invested
$31.17
Value
β
PnL
-$13.65
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20108-19252 (39360)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $227.22
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $59.45
Little-big
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $70
asidjasiodja
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $6
wzbbb
Up β $11
38791873984189
CTRDown β $0