Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 73%
$920.16
-$52.2
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6Β’ | $610.3 | $619 | +$8.7 | 93% 23585-1776 (25361) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 42.8Β’ | $118.94 | β | -$118.94 | 48% 23309-25643 (48952) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 80Β’ | $101.41 | $121.57 | +$20.16 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $34.18 | $58 | +$23.82 | 58% 37915-27161 (65076) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92.8Β’ | $40.66 | $40.29 | -$0.37 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 82.5Β’ | $33 | $40 | +$7 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 59.2Β’ | $15.4 | $26 | +$10.6 | 57% 7932-6096 (14028) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $10.32 | $10.24 | -$0.08 | 66% 125935-64835 (190770) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $3.03 | β | -$3.03 | 49% 78011-81515 (159526) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $4.3 | $5.06 | +$0.76 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.82 | β | -$0.82 | 46% 38138-45037 (83175) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20108-19252 (39360) |
Invested
$610.3
Value
$619
PnL
+$8.7
Record
93%
23585-1776 (25361)
Invested
$118.94
Value
β
PnL
-$118.94
Record
48%
23309-25643 (48952)
Invested
$101.41
Value
$121.57
PnL
+$20.16
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
Invested
$34.18
Value
$58
PnL
+$23.82
Record
58%
37915-27161 (65076)
Invested
$40.66
Value
$40.29
PnL
-$0.37
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
Invested
$33
Value
$40
PnL
+$7
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
Invested
$15.4
Value
$26
PnL
+$10.6
Record
57%
7932-6096 (14028)
Invested
$10.32
Value
$10.24
PnL
-$0.08
Record
66%
125935-64835 (190770)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.03
Value
β
PnL
-$3.03
Record
49%
78011-81515 (159526)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.76
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.82
Value
β
PnL
-$0.82
Record
46%
38138-45037 (83175)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20108-19252 (39360)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $619
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $121.57
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $58
asidjasiodja
Down β $40.29
uninformedfloww
Down β $40
wzbbb
Down β $26
asdaefef
Down β $10.24

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $5.06