Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 54%
$5.2K
-$103.53
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $4.6K | $4.6K | +$2.55 | 59% 62290-43460 (105750) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $374.69 | $378.47 | +$3.78 | 93% 23585-1776 (25361) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $75.69 | β | -$75.69 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.7Β’ | $85.9 | β | -$85.9 | 48% 23309-25643 (48952) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78.9Β’ | $52.25 | $53.14 | +$4.98 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $43.66 | $97 | +$53.34 | 58% 37915-27161 (65076) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $20.19 | $20.42 | +$0.22 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.3Β’ | $14.5 | β | -$14.5 | 54% 10935-9316 (20251) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 54.4Β’ | $14.3 | $26.27 | +$11.97 | 55% 17905-14498 (32403) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $16 | $25 | +$9 | 58% 60607-44251 (104858) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $3.03 | β | -$3.03 | 49% 78011-81515 (159526) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $9.15 | β | -$9.15 | 58% 51019-37168 (88187) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $1.12 | β | -$1.12 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
Invested
$4,563.32
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$2.55
Record
59%
62290-43460 (105750)
Invested
$374.69
Value
$378.47
PnL
+$3.78
Record
93%
23585-1776 (25361)
Invested
$75.69
Value
β
PnL
-$75.69
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
Invested
$85.9
Value
β
PnL
-$85.9
Record
48%
23309-25643 (48952)
Invested
$52.25
Value
$53.14
PnL
+$4.98
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
Invested
$43.66
Value
$97
PnL
+$53.34
Record
58%
37915-27161 (65076)
Invested
$20.19
Value
$20.42
PnL
+$0.22
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
Invested
$14.5
Value
β
PnL
-$14.5
Record
54%
10935-9316 (20251)
Invested
$14.3
Value
$26.27
PnL
+$11.97
Record
55%
17905-14498 (32403)
Invested
$16
Value
$25
PnL
+$9
Record
58%
60607-44251 (104858)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.03
Value
β
PnL
-$3.03
Record
49%
78011-81515 (159526)
Invested
$9.15
Value
β
PnL
-$9.15
Record
58%
51019-37168 (88187)
Invested
$1.12
Value
β
PnL
-$1.12
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down β $4.6K
hoodquant
Down β $378.47
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $53.14
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $97
ply-pm2
Down β $20.42
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $26.27
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $25