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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$139.27

Combined PnL

-$43.96

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares552
Combined PnL-$58.76
Down6 traders
Total Value$58.13
Total Shares58
Combined PnL+$14.81
Up β€” 50%Down β€” 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x602b99a7...2f2e8c
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793383200
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