Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 60%
$1.5K
-$13.24
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $986.23 | $987.22 | +$0.99 | 59% 62273-43446 (105719) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 97¢ | $220.36 | $227.15 | +$6.79 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.5¢ | $44.91 | — | -$44.91 | 57% 70965-54043 (125008) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $132.48 | $134 | +$1.52 | 93% 23541-1774 (25315) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $25.09 | $40 | +$14.91 | 51% 7651-7211 (14862) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.8¢ | $35.53 | $47.5 | +$11.98 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $5.51 | — | -$5.51 | 58% 37890-27130 (65020) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $10.95 | $10 | -$0.95 | 54% 10935-9316 (20251) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 64.5¢ | $13.3 | $20.62 | +$7.32 | 55% 17859-14473 (32332) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 51% 20092-19247 (39339) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $4.4 | $5.06 | +$0.66 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $2.95 | $5 | +$2.05 | 56% 58116-44865 (102981) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $3.03 | — | -$3.03 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 48% 23305-25635 (48940) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112214-58657 (170871) |
Invested
$986.23
Value
$987.22
PnL
+$0.99
Record
59%
62273-43446 (105719)
pspspsps5Invested
$220.36
Value
$227.15
PnL
+$6.79
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
Invested
$44.91
Value
—
PnL
-$44.91
Record
57%
70965-54043 (125008)
Invested
$132.48
Value
$134
PnL
+$1.52
Record
93%
23541-1774 (25315)
Invested
$25.09
Value
$40
PnL
+$14.91
Record
51%
7651-7211 (14862)
Invested
$35.53
Value
$47.5
PnL
+$11.98
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
Invested
$5.51
Value
—
PnL
-$5.51
Record
58%
37890-27130 (65020)
Invested
$10.95
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.95
Record
54%
10935-9316 (20251)
Invested
$13.3
Value
$20.62
PnL
+$7.32
Record
55%
17859-14473 (32332)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
51%
20092-19247 (39339)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.66
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
Invested
$2.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.05
Record
56%
58116-44865 (102981)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.03
Value
—
PnL
-$3.03
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
23305-25635 (48940)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112214-58657 (170871)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $987.22
pspspsps5
Down — $227.15
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $134
ply-pm2
Down — $40
aaa221
Down — $47.5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
Down — $10
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $20.62
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0