Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 53%
$571
-$19.56
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $278.19 | $281 | +$2.81 | 93% 23541-1774 (25315) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 92.4¢ | $156.29 | $169.13 | +$12.84 | 57% 70965-54043 (125008) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9¢ | $48.06 | — | -$48.06 | 51% 7651-7211 (14862) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $46.95 | $50 | +$3.05 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 48% 23305-25635 (48940) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1¢ | $2.93 | — | -$2.93 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10.63 | $14.6 | +$3.97 | 58% 37890-27130 (65020) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $13.41 | $14.9 | +$1.49 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $9.6 | $20 | +$10.4 | 34% 18828-35821 (54649) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $9.6 | $15.32 | +$5.72 | 55% 17859-14473 (32332) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $5.7 | $6.05 | +$0.35 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 54% 10935-9316 (20251) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.59 | — | -$0.59 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112214-58657 (170871) |
Invested
$278.19
Value
$281
PnL
+$2.81
Record
93%
23541-1774 (25315)
Invested
$156.29
Value
$169.13
PnL
+$12.84
Record
57%
70965-54043 (125008)
Invested
$48.06
Value
—
PnL
-$48.06
Record
51%
7651-7211 (14862)
Invested
$46.95
Value
$50
PnL
+$3.05
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
23305-25635 (48940)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.93
Value
—
PnL
-$2.93
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
Invested
$10.63
Value
$14.6
PnL
+$3.97
Record
58%
37890-27130 (65020)
Invested
$13.41
Value
$14.9
PnL
+$1.49
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.4
Record
34%
18828-35821 (54649)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$15.32
PnL
+$5.72
Record
55%
17859-14473 (32332)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$6.05
PnL
+$0.35
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
54%
10935-9316 (20251)
Invested
$0.59
Value
—
PnL
-$0.59
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112214-58657 (170871)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $281
uninformedfloww
Down — $169.13
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $50
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $14.6
aaa221
Down — $14.9
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
Down — $20