Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 73%
$811.43
-$0.43
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9Β’ | $382.58 | $387 | +$4.42 | 93% 23541-1774 (25315) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 84.8Β’ | $153.56 | $160.51 | +$6.95 | 51% 7651-7211 (14862) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $51.83 | $52.35 | +$0.52 | 74% 102568-36422 (138990) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.7Β’ | $37.94 | β | -$37.94 | 58% 37890-27130 (65020) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.5Β’ | $43.16 | $40.45 | -$2.71 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $27.4 | $28.63 | +$1.23 | 64% 40142-22964 (63106) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $25 | $50 | +$25 | 58% 51009-37160 (88169) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.2Β’ | $25.19 | $24.51 | -$0.68 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 88.3Β’ | $20.4 | $15.06 | -$5.34 | 55% 17859-14473 (32332) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $16.65 | $15 | -$1.65 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 52.5Β’ | $14.7 | $28 | +$13.3 | 58% 60586-44234 (104820) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 76.4Β’ | $7.58 | $9.92 | +$2.34 | 56% 58116-44865 (102981) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $8.02 | β | -$8.02 | 59% 62273-43446 (105719) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $3.85 | β | -$3.85 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 7Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$0.35 | 51% 20092-19247 (39339) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 59Β’ | $9.36 | β | +$6.34 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
Invested
$382.58
Value
$387
PnL
+$4.42
Record
93%
23541-1774 (25315)
Invested
$153.56
Value
$160.51
PnL
+$6.95
Record
51%
7651-7211 (14862)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$51.83
Value
$52.35
PnL
+$0.52
Record
74%
102568-36422 (138990)
Invested
$37.94
Value
β
PnL
-$37.94
Record
58%
37890-27130 (65020)
Invested
$43.16
Value
$40.45
PnL
-$2.71
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
ohioism<$100Invested
$27.4
Value
$28.63
PnL
+$1.23
Record
64%
40142-22964 (63106)
Invested
$25
Value
$50
PnL
+$25
Record
58%
51009-37160 (88169)
Invested
$25.19
Value
$24.51
PnL
-$0.68
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
Invested
$20.4
Value
$15.06
PnL
-$5.34
Record
55%
17859-14473 (32332)
Invested
$16.65
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.65
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$28
PnL
+$13.3
Record
58%
60586-44234 (104820)
Invested
$7.58
Value
$9.92
PnL
+$2.34
Record
56%
58116-44865 (102981)
Invested
$8.02
Value
β
PnL
-$8.02
Record
59%
62273-43446 (105719)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
β
PnL
-$3.85
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.35
Record
51%
20092-19247 (39339)
Invested
$9.36
Value
β
PnL
+$6.34
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $387
ply-pm2
Down β $160.51

BoneOhio
Down β $52.35
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $40.45

ohioism
Down β $28.63
PBot-6
Down β $50
asdaefef
Down β $24.51
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $15.06
dvasdkasodk
Down β $15