Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 62%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$41.32
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.1¢ | $22.35 | — | -$22.35 | 59% 62273-43446 (105719) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $905.45 | $917.85 | +$12.4 | 93% 23541-1774 (25315) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $55.99 | $82.8 | +$26.81 | 51% 7651-7211 (14862) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.3¢ | $41.62 | $82.8 | +$41.18 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.8¢ | $14.37 | — | -$14.37 | |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $42.7 | — | -$42.7 | 55% 17859-14473 (32332) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 94.6¢ | $46.6 | $45 | -$1.6 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $19.57 | $26.64 | +$7.07 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $17.58 | $16.1 | -$1.47 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 46.5¢ | $11.24 | $20 | +$8.76 | 54% 10935-9316 (20251) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 47.9¢ | $12.79 | $17.4 | +$4.61 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $8.2 | $15.76 | +$7.56 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $8.75 | — | -$8.75 | 56% 58116-44865 (102981) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $5.68 | $10.54 | +$4.86 | 59% 22313-15676 (37989) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 57% 70965-54043 (125008) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $6.9 | — | -$6.9 | 58% 60586-44234 (104820) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20092-19247 (39339) |
Invested
$22.35
Value
—
PnL
-$22.35
Record
59%
62273-43446 (105719)
Invested
$905.45
Value
$917.85
PnL
+$12.4
Record
93%
23541-1774 (25315)
Invested
$55.99
Value
$82.8
PnL
+$26.81
Record
51%
7651-7211 (14862)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.7
Value
—
PnL
-$42.7
Record
55%
17859-14473 (32332)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$46.6
Value
$45
PnL
-$1.6
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$19.57
Value
$26.64
PnL
+$7.07
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
Invested
$17.58
Value
$16.1
PnL
-$1.47
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
Invested
$11.24
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.76
Record
54%
10935-9316 (20251)
Invested
$12.79
Value
$17.4
PnL
+$4.61
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$15.76
PnL
+$7.56
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
Invested
$8.75
Value
—
PnL
-$8.75
Record
56%
58116-44865 (102981)
Invested
$5.68
Value
$10.54
PnL
+$4.86
Record
59%
22313-15676 (37989)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
57%
70965-54043 (125008)
Invested
$6.9
Value
—
PnL
-$6.9
Record
58%
60586-44234 (104820)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20092-19247 (39339)
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