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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 62%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$684.83

Combined PnL

-$240.1

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$484.83

Total Shares485

Combined PnL+$56.19

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares698

Combined PnL-$296.29

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$348.82	$352.34	+$3.52	93% 23498-1772 (25270)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Downavg 50.6¢	$277.75	—	-$277.75	57% 70922-54007 (124929)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 46.4¢	$181.99	$200	+$18.01	51% 7617-7193 (14810)
└ Up leg	Upavg 46.4¢	$92.8	$200	+$107.2
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.6¢	$89.19	—	-$89.19
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 44¢	$36.1	$64	+$27.9	58% 37856-27105 (64961)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$24.92	—	-$24.92	46% 7951-9381 (17332)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 57¢	$11.72	$20	+$8.28	64% 23273-12819 (36092)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 52¢	$10.4	$20	+$9.6	58% 60561-44221 (104782)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 48¢	$6.71	$7	+$0.29	61% 94946-59871 (154817)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 59.6¢	$6.25	$10.49	+$4.24	55% 17817-14432 (32249)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	66% 125851-64777 (190628)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 54¢	$2.7	$5	+$2.3	56% 58095-44840 (102935)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 5¢	$2.5	—	-$2.5	49% 77987-81500 (159487)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 2.9¢	$0.81	—	-$0.81	59% 62257-43437 (105694)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 40.5¢	$30.3	—	+$9.7	54% 10921-9310 (20231)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 20087-19234 (39321)

Invested

$348.82

Value

$352.34

PnL

+$3.52

Record

93%

23498-1772 (25270)

uninformedflowwCTR

Invested

$277.75

Value

—

PnL

-$277.75

Record

57%

70922-54007 (124929)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$181.99

Value

$200

PnL

+$18.01

Record

51%

7617-7193 (14810)

Both legs:

Up$92.846.4¢+$107.2

Down$89.1942.6¢-$89.19

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$36.1

Value

$64

PnL

+$27.9

Record

58%

37856-27105 (64961)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$24.92

Value

—

PnL

-$24.92

Record

46%

7951-9381 (17332)

Invested

$11.72

Value

$20

PnL

+$8.28

Record

64%

23273-12819 (36092)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$10.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$9.6

Record

58%

60561-44221 (104782)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$6.71

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.29

Record

61%

94946-59871 (154817)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$6.25

Value

$10.49

PnL

+$4.24

Record

55%

17817-14432 (32249)

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.06

Record

66%

125851-64777 (190628)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.3

Record

56%

58095-44840 (102935)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

49%

77987-81500 (159487)

Invested

$0.81

Value

—

PnL

-$0.81

Record

59%

62257-43437 (105694)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$30.3

Value

—

PnL

+$9.7

Record

54%

10921-9310 (20231)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20087-19234 (39321)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x79c963b5...7f0cb6

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793376300

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $352.34

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $64

38791873984189

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $20

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $20

asidjasiodja

Up — $7

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $10.49

asdaefef

Up — $6

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