Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 69%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
$60.15
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.1¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$20.23 | 93% 23498-1772 (25270) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 69.2¢ | $130.09 | $174 | +$43.91 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 19.8¢ | $146.64 | $81.17 | -$65.47 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 81.1¢ | $65.8 | $81.17 | +$15.37 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 19.8¢ | $80.84 | — | -$80.84 | |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89.9¢ | $59.31 | $62 | +$2.69 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $57.88 | $59.73 | +$1.85 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.4¢ | $5.68 | — | -$5.68 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $7.83 | — | -$7.83 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $36.54 | $26.92 | +$7.96 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95.8¢ | $27.36 | $25.16 | -$2.2 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $22.7 | $25.06 | +$2.36 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $18 | $20 | +$2 | 64% 40124-22950 (63074) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.3¢ | $13.98 | $12.66 | -$1.32 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $50.68 | — | -$2.17 | 48% 23286-25627 (48913) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20087-19234 (39321) |
Invested
$1,018.31
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$20.23
Record
93%
23498-1772 (25270)
Invested
$130.09
Value
$174
PnL
+$43.91
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
Invested
$146.64
Value
$81.17
PnL
-$65.47
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$59.31
Value
$62
PnL
+$2.69
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
Invested
$57.88
Value
$59.73
PnL
+$1.85
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.68
Value
—
PnL
-$5.68
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.83
Value
—
PnL
-$7.83
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$36.54
Value
$26.92
PnL
+$7.96
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$27.36
Value
$25.16
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
Invested
$22.7
Value
$25.06
PnL
+$2.36
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18
Value
$20
PnL
+$2
Record
64%
40124-22950 (63074)
Invested
$13.98
Value
$12.66
PnL
-$1.32
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$50.68
Value
—
PnL
-$2.17
Record
48%
23286-25627 (48913)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20087-19234 (39321)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
ply-pm2
Down — $174
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MayorMamdani
Down — $62
asidjasiodja
Down — $59.73
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $26.92
dvasdkasodk
Down — $25.16
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $25.06