Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$1.6K
-$41.57
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $605.28 | $668.54 | +$63.26 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66¢ | $441.22 | $668.54 | +$227.32 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.5¢ | $164.06 | — | -$164.06 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $510.6 | $489.49 | -$21.11 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 80.4¢ | $84.4 | $105 | +$20.6 | 74% 102547-36416 (138963) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $62.92 | $64.2 | +$1.28 | 93% 23498-1772 (25270) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.3¢ | $51.9 | — | -$51.9 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $34.09 | $50.13 | +$16.04 | 64% 40124-22950 (63074) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $35.5 | $50 | +$14.5 | 58% 60561-44221 (104782) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $34.5 | $49.99 | +$15.5 | 56% 58095-44840 (102935) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83.7¢ | $43.86 | $30 | -$10.66 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $29.58 | $58 | +$28.42 | 34% 18818-35816 (54634) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.2¢ | $43.35 | — | -$43.35 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $21.13 | $17.21 | -$3.92 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 77.8¢ | $18.66 | $24 | +$5.34 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $11.22 | $22 | +$10.78 | 62% 43841-26852 (70693) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.2¢ | $10.24 | — | -$10.24 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $3.42 | — | -$3.42 | 63% 51950-30621 (82571) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.6¢ | $6.24 | — | -$6.24 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20087-19234 (39321) |
Invested
$605.28
Value
$668.54
PnL
+$63.26
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Both legs:
Invested
$510.6
Value
$489.49
PnL
-$21.11
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
BoneOhioInvested
$84.4
Value
$105
PnL
+$20.6
Record
74%
102547-36416 (138963)
Invested
$62.92
Value
$64.2
PnL
+$1.28
Record
93%
23498-1772 (25270)
Invested
$51.9
Value
—
PnL
-$51.9
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
ohioism<$100Invested
$34.09
Value
$50.13
PnL
+$16.04
Record
64%
40124-22950 (63074)
Invested
$35.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$14.5
Record
58%
60561-44221 (104782)
Invested
$34.5
Value
$49.99
PnL
+$15.5
Record
56%
58095-44840 (102935)
Invested
$43.86
Value
$30
PnL
-$10.66
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$29.58
Value
$58
PnL
+$28.42
Record
34%
18818-35816 (54634)
Invested
$43.35
Value
—
PnL
-$43.35
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
Invested
$21.13
Value
$17.21
PnL
-$3.92
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$18.66
Value
$24
PnL
+$5.34
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$11.22
Value
$22
PnL
+$10.78
Record
62%
43841-26852 (70693)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.24
Value
—
PnL
-$10.24
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.42
Value
—
PnL
-$3.42
Record
63%
51950-30621 (82571)
Invested
$6.24
Value
—
PnL
-$6.24
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20087-19234 (39321)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $489.49
BoneOhio
Up — $105
hoodquant
Up — $64.2
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $50.13
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $50
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $49.99
aaa221
Up — $30
Little-big
Up — $58